LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Cloud9 face FlyQuest in the LCS Upper Bracket Semifinal on 23 May, with the 71% implied probability favouring the defending champions. The matchup carries significant weight: Cloud9 have won three of the last four LCS titles and enter playoffs as the regular season's top seed, whilst FlyQuest finished second and represent the region's most consistent challenger to Cloud9's dominance. Recent roster stability favours Cloud9, who maintained their core through the off-season, though FlyQuest's mid-season adjustments and improved macro play have narrowed the historical gap between these franchises.

The current odds reflect Cloud9's track record in high-stakes Bo5 formats. Over the past two years, Cloud9 have won 73% of playoff series they've entered, with particular strength in upper bracket matches where preparation time is limited. FlyQuest's counter-narrative rests on their 2–1 head-to-head record against Cloud9 in regular season play this year, suggesting the matchup is closer than historical seeding implies. However, regular season results have proven poor predictors of playoff performance in the LCS; teams typically tighten their champion pools and strategic execution under tournament conditions.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player health or roster changes through 22 May, as both organisations have history of last-minute adjustments. The scheduled 4:00 PM ET start time on 23 May carries no reported delays or complications as of current information. Given the settlement window extends to 24 May 02:00 UTC, scheduling disruptions would need to exceed seven days to trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, an unlikely scenario barring extraordinary circumstances.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.