Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior | 100% T1 Academy |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) | 100% T1 Academy | 0% Bilibili Gaming Junior |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 10% YES | 91% NO |
Market context
Bilibili Gaming Junior faces T1 Academy in a League of Legends Asia Masters Group B match scheduled for 9 June at 04:00 ET. The 0% implied probability reflects the current absence of public information suggesting either team has withdrawn or the fixture faces cancellation risk. This represents a baseline position rather than a settled assessment of competitive likelihood.
T1 Academy typically operates as a development roster for one of esports' most established organisations, whilst Bilibili Gaming Junior serves a similar function within the Chinese competitive structure. Historical matchups between academy-level teams from different regions show considerable variance depending on roster composition and recent scrim results, which remain opaque to public markets. The settlement mechanism's 50-50 tie clause introduces material risk if either team experiences roster unavailability or if technical issues prevent match completion within the seven-day window.
Traders should monitor official Asia Masters communications for any fixture postponements or team roster announcements in the 48 hours preceding the scheduled start. Bilibili Gaming's domestic LDL (League Development League) schedule and T1 Academy's participation in regional qualifiers could create scheduling conflicts that force rescheduling. The match falls during the broader Asia Masters group stage, so league-wide administrative decisions regarding format changes or venue issues would affect settlement conditions. Current zero probability likely reflects limited trading volume rather than genuine certainty about match occurrence.
Methodology
This page reviews LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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