LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Platform comparison

Market context

Anyone’s Legend and EDward Gaming are due to meet in a best-of-three in LPL Group Ascend, with the market still pricing Anyone’s Legend as the clear favourite at 77% despite no material trading volume showing in the feed. The key near-term change is timing: the series is listed for early this morning, so the main risk to the current price is not form drift but any last-minute schedule shift or broadcast delay before the first map begins.[1][3]

That 77% sits broadly in line with the recent competitive gap between the sides. Anyone’s Legend have been the stronger series team in comparable LPL match-ups this season, while EDward Gaming have repeatedly struggled to convert even when they take a map, which is why pre-match score models on the same fixture lean towards an AL win, including a 2-0 or 2-1 result profile.[2][10] By contrast, market history shows AL can still be tested in bo3s by mid-table opposition, so a high implied probability here reads more like “strong favourite” than “near-certainty”.[2][6]

Traders should watch for official start confirmation, line-up announcements and whether the match page stays on its scheduled slot, because any cancellation, tie or delay beyond seven days would force a 50-50 settlement under the contract rules.[1] If the series does begin, the most relevant live catalysts are draft quality and whether EDward Gaming can take an early map, since AL’s edge is most often expressed across the full series rather than through a one-sided pre-match price.[2][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.