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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $794K Liquidity: $545K Closes: 5 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?10%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
First Blood in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Game Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)0%
Any Player Rampage0%

Market context

The 3rd-place Dota 2 match between Team Resilience and Rune Eaters is live or has already started, with multiple schedules showing an 08:00 GMT start and live score pages listing the series at 0-0 or in Map 1. That makes the market’s current 100% YES price look like a pure event-completion trade rather than a view on competitive balance, because the settlement hinges on a normal finish before the 7-day delay window closes.

The recent form context is fairly even, but the tournament results slightly favour Rune Eaters on pedigree alone. In the playoff run, Team Resilience beat Xtreme Gaming 2-1 before losing their semi-final to PlayTime 0-2, while Rune Eaters reached the bronze match after a 2-1 win over LGD and a narrow semi-final loss to Yakult Brothers. Comparable pre-match coverage also framed Rune Eaters as a marginal favourite, with public prediction pages split almost exactly down the middle and some ranking data placing Team Resilience higher, which is consistent with a market where the only clear edge is on one team’s route through the bracket rather than a dominant mismatch.

The main catalysts now are straightforward: whether the series continues uninterrupted, whether the official bracket keeps the bronze match on schedule, and whether any delay pushes settlement into the fallback rules. The broader Games of the Future Dota 2 schedule has been running tightly around the third-place match and grand final slot, so the key trader watchpoints are an official map result, a pause or remake, and any late schedule change from the tournament organiser or broadcast pages. If the match is abandoned after starting or cannot produce a winner within the permitted window, the market moves away from a normal binary outcome and into the special settlement case.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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