Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs GLYPH (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
REKONIX and GLYPH are set to clash in the Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 of the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier on 3 June at 08:00 ET. The winner advances directly to the regional finals; the loser drops to the lower bracket where their tournament life continues but with reduced margin for error. Both teams qualified through earlier rounds of this closed qualifier, which determines Southeast Asia's representative pathway to the broader Esports World Cup competition.
The 0% implied probability suggests either extreme confidence in one outcome or minimal trading activity on this particular matchup. Historical Dota 2 qualifier brackets show that upper bracket semifinals frequently feature closely matched regional competitors, with outcomes often determined by patch familiarity, recent scrim results, and meta alignment rather than raw skill disparity alone. Teams at this stage typically have comparable preparation levels and tournament experience.
Traders should monitor for any roster changes or player illness announcements in the 48 hours before the match, as Southeast Asian qualifier rosters occasionally shift late. The scheduled 08:00 ET start time places the match during morning hours in the region, which can affect player performance consistency. Confirmation of broadcast availability and any technical delays from earlier matches in the bracket will signal whether the 8am slot holds. The settlement window closes at 18:00 ET on 3 June, allowing six hours post-match for result confirmation and any dispute resolution.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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