Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% L1ga Team |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 0% L1ga Team | 100% Power Rangers |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% YES | 90% NO |
Market context
Power Rangers have already met L1ga Team in this qualifier, but the market has not moved far from a close contest: the crowd is still giving L1ga Team a modest edge at 64% YES, even though other match pages have also pointed to a narrow L1ga Team favourite. Live coverage sites list the series as a best-of-three in the Europe Closed Qualifier playoffs upper-bracket round 1, with the scheduled start shown at 14:00 UTC on 22 June, so the main question today is less about timing and more about whether the opening map has been enough to shift expectations.[1][2][3][4]
Recent comparable pricing suggests traders have treated this as a competitive pairing rather than a one-sided bracket mismatch. Strafe’s pre-match vote had L1ga Team at 62.3%, while Robinhood’s event page showed L1ga Team priced at 59¢, both broadly consistent with a slight favourite rather than a dominant one.[1][4] That kind of range usually leaves plenty of room for live movement if one side wins the first game cleanly or if the draft reveals a clear comfort-pick edge.
The main catalysts from here are straightforward: the official match result, any reversal from live score services that would indicate the series is still ongoing, and any organiser update if the fixture is delayed or replayed. Sofascore and GosuGamers were both tracking the match at 14:00 UTC, so traders will be watching for confirmation that the series finishes inside the normal window rather than drifting into the market’s fallback 50-50 rules.[2][3] If the bracket or broadcast schedule changes, that matters more here than in a standard league match because resolution depends on the game being completed, not merely announced.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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