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Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Volume: $613K Liquidity: $686K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Any Player Ultra Kill100%
Any Player Rampage100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Match Winner77%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: PlayTime (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

PlayTime and Execration are already underway in the Games of the Future playoffs, so the main change over the past 24-48 hours is that this is no longer a theoretical fixture but a live best-of-three with official score tracking. Hawk.live lists the series as started at 05:00 UTC and currently at 0-0 on map one, while the tournament schedule still places the match in the Round 1 playoff slot for 2 August.[3][2]

The **0% YES** crowd price is hard to square with the pre-match read from the wider market. Strafe had PlayTime at rank #18 and Execration at #22, with users voting 86.7% for PlayTime, while dltv also tagged PlayTime as the stronger side on ranking and betting line context.[5][10] A previous head-to-head reference point is limited, but Execration did beat PlayTime 2-0 in an earlier qualifier meeting in January 2026, which is the clearest comparable case for this pairing.[18]

For traders, the key catalysts are the live series state, any official stream or bracket updates, and whether the match completes cleanly inside the scheduled playoff window.[1][8][2] The market rules also matter here: if the series is abandoned, tied, or pushed more than seven days past the scheduled date without a winner, it settles 50-50 rather than on a team result, so late schedule changes are as important as the in-game scoreline.[7]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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