Market statistics
- Total volume
- $1.2M
- 24h volume
- $1.2M
- Liquidity
- $2.0M
- Open interest
- $673K
Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Available prediction outcomes (90)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
PARIVISION face BetBoom Team in a DreamLeague Group B best-of-three on 14 May at 06:00 ET. The 73% crowd probability favours PARIVISION, reflecting their recent form and perceived roster strength in the current competitive Dota 2 landscape. No material roster changes or public disputes have surfaced in the past 48 hours that would shift the baseline expectation.
Historical performance between these squads provides limited direct precedent, but PARIVISION's track record in regional qualifiers and group-stage play this season has been more consistent than BetBoom's. Teams at this tier typically show 65–75% win probability when favoured by similar margins in best-of-three formats, suggesting the crowd estimate sits within normal bounds. BetBoom have demonstrated capacity to upset stronger opponents through unconventional drafting, though such victories remain outliers rather than patterns.
The settlement window closes at 16:00 ET on 14 May, allowing roughly ten hours after the scheduled start for the match to conclude. Traders should monitor DreamLeague's official schedule for any reschedules or technical delays; the seven-day buffer before 50-50 resolution provides some cushion, but fixture congestion during group stages occasionally produces same-day postponements. Connectivity issues or player unavailability in either squad's region could trigger forfeit conditions, though no such warnings have been flagged by the tournament operator as of the latest update.
Methodology
We track Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2ember. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeag… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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