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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Ends in Daytime 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? 100% Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1? 100% Volume: $665K Liquidity: $120K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: MOUZ vs Vici Gaming - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
First Blood in Game 1?95%
First Blood in Game 2?95%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 90.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 95.5 in Game 2?48%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game 2 Winner0%
Both Teams Beat Roshan0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

MOUZ and Vici Gaming are locked in a Group C best-of-three clash at the Esports World Cup 2026 in Paris today, with Strafe users heavily backing MOUZ at 74.2% and bookmakers listing them as favourites with average odds of 2.9 against Vici’s 3.8[1][8]. The market’s 0% YES probability on “more markets” reflects the series’ imminent settlement; in comparable Group-stage Dota 2 matches at this tournament, additional prop markets rarely open once the main match window begins, as liquidity concentrates on the primary outcome[3][7].

Traders should monitor the live broadcast for any mid-series format changes or disqualifications, though the schedule is fixed for 9:00 AM local time with no reported delays[1][2]. The only catalyst that could shift this probability is an official announcement from BLAST.tv regarding match integrity or a postponement, neither of which has occurred as of 11:00 AM UTC[3]. With the settlement window closing at 15:00 UTC today, the event is effectively in its final hours, and no new dependencies are expected to emerge[3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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