Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons face Team Spirit in a best-of-one group stage match at the BLAST Slam tournament on 28 May, with the match scheduled for 5:10 AM ET. The 100% implied probability reflects high confidence in the match occurring as scheduled, though the early morning timing across US zones introduces typical logistical variables for online competitive Dota 2. No roster changes or withdrawal announcements have emerged in the past 48 hours from either organisation.

The settlement mechanism hinges on match completion rather than outcome prediction. Historical precedent from BLAST events and similar third-party Dota 2 tournaments shows cancellation or seven-day delays are rare but not unprecedented—typically occurring only when teams face visa complications, server failures, or organisational disputes. Team Spirit and Team Falcons both maintain stable rosters with no recent travel restrictions flagged. The 50-50 tie-break clause applies only if the match fails to produce a winner within the settlement window, a scenario that has materialised in fewer than 2% of comparable group-stage fixtures since 2023.

Traders should monitor BLAST's official schedule updates and both teams' social media for any last-minute postponements, which are usually announced 12–24 hours before fixture time. Server stability during the scheduled window and any emergency roster substitutions would constitute material changes. The early morning slot may affect participation visibility but carries no bearing on match validity under the stated resolution criteria.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.