Market statistics
- Total volume
- $2.4M
- 24h volume
- $2.4M
- Open interest
- $90K
Available prediction outcomes (62)
Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.
Market context
Team Falcons face BetBoom Team in an upper bracket semifinal of the BLAST Slam Dota 2 playoffs, scheduled for 5:00 AM ET on 5 June. The 0% crowd probability reflects either extreme confidence in one side or minimal trading activity at this early stage. Both teams qualified through earlier rounds, though recent form and roster stability heading into this fixture will determine the matchup's competitive balance. The best-of-three format means either team needs two map wins to advance.
Historical precedent suggests upper bracket semifinals in major Dota 2 tournaments rarely see upsets of heavily favoured sides, though the format's inherent variance—particularly in a BO3—leaves room for competitive matches. Team Falcons and BetBoom have faced each other multiple times across regional and international circuits; their head-to-head record and recent patch adaptation typically inform pre-match assessments more reliably than raw seeding alone.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute schedule changes in the 48 hours before the match. Patch updates or hero pool shifts announced immediately before playoffs can shift preparation timelines. The settlement window closes at 15:00 UTC on 5 June, allowing roughly ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Any technical delays, server issues, or administrative holds extending beyond 7 June would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, though such outcomes remain uncommon in established tournament infrastructure.
Wikipedia Context
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Dog Team Tavern
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Methodology
We track Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Resolution source: This market settles from the official publication at https://www.twitch.tv/BLASTDota. A proposer submits the result to the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon, the two-hour challenge window opens, and the smart contract pays out in USDC.
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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