Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| First Blood in Game 1? | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% Enjoy | 90% Team Bald |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% Enjoy | 0% Team Bald |
Market context
Enjoy’s match with Team Bald is scheduled for the Europe Closed Qualifier playoffs, and the market is already pricing a very strong chance of an Enjoy win at 90% YES. Live listings on 21 June show the series as active or imminent, which matters because the settlement hinges on the match being played to a winner before the seven-day fallback window closes.[1][2][5]
That price is best read against Team Bald’s profile as a volatile qualifier side rather than a deep-tier tournament staple. Liquipedia notes Team Bald as a streamer-led roster built around Gorgc, while recent qualifier coverage and community discussion show the team advancing through TI qualification paths in a way that can produce uneven opposition quality and mismatched early-round results.[7][9][3] In that context, a high favourite price is not unusual when the bracket places a more established or better-performing side opposite a high-variance qualifier team.
For traders, the key catalysts are straightforward: the series must actually start on schedule, the bracket position must remain unchanged, and there must be no late walkover, postponement or administrative adjustment. Tournament pages and live score trackers were still carrying the fixture on the day of play, so any last-minute cancellation, default, or schedule slip would be the main route to an alternate 50-50 settlement rather than a normal 1-0 or 2-0 result.[1][4][5]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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