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Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Both Teams Destroy Barracks 100% Volume: $871K Liquidity: $106K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs MOUZ - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?100%
Ends in Daytime90%
Both Teams Beat Roshan90%
First Blood in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?90%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?90%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?10%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?1%
Ends in Daytime0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

BetBoom Team and MOUZ have already met several times this cycle, and the recent split in results is the main reason the market is still sitting at a crowd-implied **100% YES**. MOUZ took the BO1 at BLAST Slam IV on 17 October 2025, while BetBoom responded with a 2-0 in DreamLeague Season 28 on 23 February 2026, so the head-to-head no longer reads as one-sided even though the longer record still leans BetBoom[3][14][15]. Across the broader sample, BetBoom are listed with three wins from three series and a 6-0 map record against MOUZ in some historical aggregators, which helps explain why traders may be reluctant to price in a meaningful upset unless there is clear roster or schedule news[5][6].

The immediate catalysts are straightforward: line-up confirmation, late schedule changes, and whether both teams arrive with the same starters used in their most recent series. The market is for a best-of-two scheduled on 31 July 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, and the settlement window runs until 17:00 UTC, so any official update before the start time is likely to matter more than older form lines[17]. Recent form indicators are mixed rather than dominant: BetBoom’s recent matches against MOUZ have produced both a 0-1 loss and a 2-0 win, with published stats showing BetBoom can outpace MOUZ on kills and objective pressure in some series while MOUZ have also shown they can take a map when draft execution lands[3][9][10].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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