Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 0% 4ikibamboni | 100% Power Rangers |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% 4ikibamboni | 0% Power Rangers |
| Match Winner | 0% 4ikibamboni | 100% Power Rangers |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5) | 0% Power Rangers | 100% 4ikibamboni |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
4ikibamboni’s upper-bracket final against Power Rangers has already been played, and Power Rangers won the best-of-three 2-1. That means the market’s 0% YES pricing now sits against a completed result rather than an open match, so the settlement focus shifts to whether the event is recognised as the scheduled EPL playoff series or whether there is any dispute over cancellation or abandonment. [1][2][4]
The recent head-to-head context is mixed but slightly favours Power Rangers in the latest completed meeting: the teams met again in the same European Pro League Season 38 cycle on 14 June, when 4ikibamboni beat Power Rangers 2-1 in a group-stage BO3. Historical listings also show Power Rangers entered the playoff match with the stronger tournament ranking on Liquipedia’s participant page, which helps explain why traders had a live contest rather than a one-sided number before the series started. [3][5]
For traders now, the main catalyst is no longer game quality but event administration: official bracket updates, match pages, and any post-series corrections on the tournament side. Strafe and other match trackers already record the series as finished and decided in Power Rangers’ favour, while Dota2.ru likewise lists the game as completed, so any change in settlement would likely require a rare dispute about the fixture rather than a sporting development. [1][4]
Methodology
We track Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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