Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

TYLOO and Legacy meet in Round 5 of IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 9 June, with the match scheduled for 10:30 AM ET. The current crowd-implied probability of 36% for TYLOO suggests Legacy are favoured, though the gap remains modest. This is a best-of-three fixture in a major tournament bracket where both teams' seeding and prior performances carry weight in determining expected outcomes.

TYLOO's recent form against comparable opponents provides context for the 36% reading. The Chinese roster has shown inconsistency at international majors over the past eighteen months, with results varying sharply depending on map pool matchups and opponent preparation. Legacy, by contrast, has demonstrated steadier performances in regional qualifiers and minor tournaments, though their major-stage experience remains limited. Historical precedent suggests that when crowd probability settles below 40% for a team in a direct elimination match, it often reflects genuine skill differential rather than uncertainty—teams at this tier are well-scouted.

Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes through to the settlement window closing at 20:30 UTC on 9 June. IEM Cologne's schedule occasionally shifts due to technical issues or broadcast delays; any postponement beyond seven days without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Map bans and veto order, typically announced shortly before match start, can shift expected value if either team's map pool advantages become clearer. Check ESL's official tournament updates and team social media for any withdrawal announcements or stand-in confirmations in the final hours before play.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.