Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 90% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 10% |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs The Huns Esports (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
TYLOO have already eliminated The Huns Esports in a prior 0–2 defeat at the CS Asia Championships 2026, advancing to the Upper Bracket Final while The Huns dropped to the Lower Bracket[1]. This historical result directly explains the current 0% crowd-implied probability for The Huns winning the upcoming BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs semifinal; traders are pricing in a repeat of that decisive outcome rather than a reversal. In Counter-Strike, where team form and map preparation often persist across short intervals, a 2–0 loss with both maps ending within three rounds (10–13, 11–13) signals a significant skill gap that rarely flips without roster or tactical changes[1].
The key catalyst for this market is whether the scheduled BO3 match on 10 July at 10:00 PM ET is still played, given the settlement window ends 11 July 2026 at 12:50 UTC—just hours after the current time[1]. If the match is cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or ends in a tie, the market resolves to 50–50, but any confirmed start with TYLOO’s recent momentum strongly favours their win. Traders should monitor official BLAST announcements for schedule confirmations or cancellations, as online qualifiers in Asia can be disrupted by connectivity issues or regional lockdowns, though no such disruption has been reported yet[1].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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