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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5) 100% Volume: $101K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Rune Eaters (+6.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs Rune Eaters (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Rune Eaters (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5)0%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Rune Eaters (-9.5) vs SPARTA (+9.5)0%

Market context

SPARTA and Rune Eaters were scheduled to meet in a best-of-three Swiss round-three match in CCT Europe Series #6, and by the last 24–48 hours the market has settled at a full **100% YES** for SPARTA. The broader event format matters here: CCT Europe Series #6 uses a 16-team Swiss stage with all matches played as BO3s, and top-eight teams move on to playoffs, so this is a standard progression match rather than a one-map coin flip.[5][1]

The probability looks consistent with how traders have priced the tie-up: SPARTA have been treated as the stronger side in external previews, with live listings showing them around 1.56 to win versus 2.24 for Rune Eaters, while community and model-style pages have leaned heavily towards SPARTA as well.[8][7][1] SPARTA’s recent form has also been framed more positively, with mixed but credible results against mid-tier opposition and a notable individual level from El1an, which helps explain why the book and crowd have not left much room for an upset.[1]

For traders watching the market today, the key catalyst is simply whether the match is confirmed and started on schedule, because the listing has shown a 14:00 UTC start while the market description references the original 10:00 AM ET slot.[2][3][12] Any late reschedule, technical delay, or official walkover decision would matter more than usual given the settlement rules, but current match pages still show the fixture as upcoming rather than cancelled or completed.[2][4][6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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