Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Sharks | 0% Eternal Fire |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5) | 100% Sharks | 0% Eternal Fire |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
Sharks face Eternal Fire in the Upper Bracket quarterfinal of Digital Crusade Super Draculan Season 1, a match originally set for 08:00 UTC today but now drawing a 100% crowd-implied probability favouring Sharks. In the last 24 hours, no roster changes or injury announcements have emerged for either side, yet the market has locked in completely, suggesting traders view Eternal Fire as fundamentally outmatched in this specific BO3 format. This behaviour mirrors historical cases where one team holds a dominant world ranking gap; for instance, when Brazil’s top-ranked squads faced lower-tier opponents in 2025, markets similarly collapsed to 100% before the first map, reflecting an absence of credible upset scenarios rather than mere confidence [5].
Traders should monitor the live stream status and official tournament updates for any cancellation or delay beyond the seven-day window, which would reset the market to 50-50. The primary catalyst remains the match start time confirmation, as any postponement past 23 June 15:00 UTC could trigger a resolution clause if no winner is determined within seven days [2]. Recent tournament schedules confirm Eternal Fire’s participation in this event, but no pre-match press releases have indicated roster instability, reinforcing the current pricing [2]. Watch escharts for live stream availability, as a missing stream often precedes technical delays that could impact settlement [6]. The market’s absolute certainty hinges on the match proceeding without interruption, making real-time operational updates the only variable worth tracking.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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