Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 90% YES | 10% NO |
Market context
Rune Eaters and Bushido Wildcats are still listed for today’s BO3 in CCT Europe Closed Qualifier Group D, with the market now fully priced at 100% for a Rune Eaters win. Over the last day, the practical change is less about a fresh competitive edge and more about confirmation that this fixture remains on the schedule and has not drifted into a cancellation or postponement scenario inside the settlement window. That matters because, with the market already maxed out, the remaining risk is mostly operational rather than form-based.
On the numbers available from match previews, Rune Eaters come in slightly better on ranking, around 202nd to Bushido Wildcats’ 214th, but not by a margin that would normally justify a perfect probability. Recent form is the sharper flag: Rune Eaters have been reported at 1-4 across their last five, with a recent-month win rate around 43%, which is weak for a team priced as an absolute certainty. One preview also highlighted an Ancient weakness, with only a 32% win rate across 22 maps, suggesting map vetoes could still matter if the series goes the distance. Comparable Bo3s at this level often turn on veto quality rather than overall rank.
The main catalysts to watch are the official match start status, any late schedule change from the tournament operator, and whether the map pool is confirmed before vetoes are locked in. Dust2.us and Liquipedia both list the fixture within the CCT Europe Series 3 qualifier structure, which usually means a standard Bo3 format unless the bracket or admin schedule changes. If there is any delay, technical default, or no-show, the market outcome can shift away from a simple win/loss resolution, so the live match page and organiser updates are the key sources to monitor over the remaining settlement window.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group D across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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