Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% G2 Ares |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) | 100% ex-RUBY | 0% G2 Ares |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
ex-RUBY and G2 Ares are scheduled to face off in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 12 June at 04:00 ET as part of CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Round 2. The 100% implied probability reflects either exceptionally high confidence in match completion or minimal trading activity, both common patterns in early-stage esports group play where fixture certainty typically runs high. Settlement hinges on a decisive result by 14:00 UTC on the scheduled date; any cancellation, tie, or seven-day delay without resolution triggers a 50-50 split.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically maintained strong fixture integrity at the group stage level, with forfeits and no-shows remaining rare relative to playoff rounds where roster instability peaks. G2's established infrastructure as an organisation typically ensures participation compliance, whilst ex-RUBY's status as a reformed or emerging roster warrants closer scrutiny on team stability. Previous CCT editions saw minimal disruption to early-round scheduling, though technical issues or player availability gaps have occasionally forced rescheduling within the settlement window.
Traders should monitor team announcements and CCT official channels through 12 June for any roster changes, visa delays, or technical infrastructure issues that could affect match start time. Recent esports scheduling patterns show increased flexibility around early morning ET fixtures to accommodate European time zones, but CCT has maintained published schedules reliably. The match's position as Round 2 group play—rather than a knockout stage—reduces organisational pressure to reschedule aggressively, making on-time completion the baseline expectation absent explicit disruption signals.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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