Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

MIBR face Legacy in a CS Asia Championships Semifinal 2 best-of-three on 23 May at 04:00 ET, with the current market pricing MIBR's victory at 35 per cent. The match represents a significant stage for both rosters, though recent form data and roster stability will be the primary drivers of movement in the final week before play.

MIBR have maintained a relatively consistent lineup through the Asian circuit, whilst Legacy's recent performances suggest inconsistency in map pool execution. Historical precedent from similar regional playoffs shows that teams with established core five compositions tend to outperform those mid-roster transition, particularly in high-pressure semifinal scenarios. The 35 per cent probability for MIBR implies the market currently favours Legacy as the stronger proposition, though this reflects broader perceptions rather than recent match-specific intelligence.

Traders should monitor official CS Asia Championships communications for any roster changes, illness disclosures, or scheduling shifts through to the settlement window close on 23 May at 14:00 UTC. Equipment or technical issues reported in the 48 hours preceding the match have historically shifted odds in regional tournaments. Additionally, any public statements regarding preparation time or scrim results from either organisation could signal confidence levels. The seven-day delay clause means matches postponed beyond 30 May without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution, creating a secondary risk factor for positions held through the final days.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.