Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs Lavked (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
KOLESIE and Lavked are scheduled to meet in Round 4 of the CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage on 1 June at 1:00 PM ET in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The 0% implied probability on KOLESIE victory reflects either minimal trading activity or strong consensus favouring Lavked, though with a settlement window closing at 23:00 UTC the same day, the market has compressed into a tight window where roster changes, last-minute withdrawals, or technical issues carry outsized weight.
CCT Europe tournaments have historically seen fixture delays and cancellations due to player availability conflicts with other regional competitions and scheduling overlaps. Group stage matches in this format occasionally resolve to 50-50 outcomes when teams forfeit or matches are abandoned mid-series, particularly when lower-seeded squads face resource constraints. The extreme skew toward Lavked suggests either established form disparity or that KOLESIE's roster status is uncertain heading into the fixture.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements and team social media through 31 May for any roster confirmations, illness, or visa delays that could affect participation. Recent CCT Europe broadcasts have flagged fixture integrity issues when teams field stand-in players or withdraw entirely. The tight settlement window—ending just hours after the scheduled start—means any delay beyond the initial match time without a decisive result triggers the 50-50 clause, making fixture completion itself a material variable independent of in-game performance.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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