Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 0% K27 | 100% Virtus.pro |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5) | 0% K27 | 100% Virtus.pro |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: K27 (-9.5) vs Virtus.pro (+9.5) | 0% K27 | 100% Virtus.pro |
Market context
K27 and Virtus.pro were due to meet in the CCT Europe Series #4 playoffs Round of 16, with the match listed as a best-of-three on 19 June and still appearing as an upcoming fixture in recent match trackers. That matters for the market because a 1% crowd-implied chance for K27 is effectively pricing them as a major underdog, despite the game being set for a standard elimination format rather than a one-map upset bracket.[1][2]
Recent comparable results suggest K27 can be competitive in CCT-level best-of-three play, including a 2-1 win over BIG in an earlier CCT Europe series, but that does not by itself move them into close-call territory against a higher-profile opponent.[3] Virtus.pro also publicly framed this as their route into the playoffs, which signals the match was treated as a normal tournament commitment rather than an irregular or exhibition fixture.[4]
For traders, the immediate catalysts are whether the match starts on schedule, whether the bracket is updated by the organiser, and whether either team fields a stand-in or posts a last-minute withdrawal. Live score listings already placed the fixture on 19 June, but if it is delayed, abandoned, or not completed within the settlement rules, the market can still resolve to 50-50 rather than a side win.[1][2]
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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