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Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 100% Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5) 100% Volume: $89K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Infinite vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5100%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-6.5) vs SPARTA (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Infinite (-3.5) vs SPARTA (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs Infinite (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs Infinite (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

The match is still on the board for later today, with multiple trackers showing Infinite vs SPARTA in the CCT Europe Series #5 playoffs as a best-of-three that has not yet started. As of the latest listings, the start time sits around 08:00 UTC, so the main near-term change over the last day is simply that the round has moved from scheduled to imminent rather than being subject to a reschedule or cancellation notice.[1][2][3]

The 0% YES price is hard to square with the bracket context. In comparable CCT Europe playoff matches, both teams have been priced much closer to a coin flip when there is no clear ranking or head-to-head edge, and public preview sites have treated this pairing as balanced, with recent form slightly split rather than one-sided.[6][7] SPARTA have also already shown they can win in this event, while Infinite’s recent results include a mix of clean wins and losses, which helps explain why traders may be waiting for confirmed line-ups or a live update before assigning a non-zero chance.[4][5][7]

The key catalysts are straightforward: official start confirmation, any delay pushed by server or schedule issues, and whether either side fields the expected roster at map veto. Liquipedia shows the playoffs running as a single-elimination BO3 from 30 July to 2 August, so any no-show, postponement, or forfeiture would matter immediately for settlement. If the match opens on time, the market will mostly track whether the veto and first map lean towards Infinite or SPARTA rather than any broader tournament storyline.[5][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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