Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Team Falcons face Legacy in the CS Asia Championships grand final on 24 May, a best-of-five clash that will determine the regional champion. The 76% implied probability backing Falcons reflects their stronger recent form and roster stability, though Legacy have demonstrated capacity to upset higher-seeded opponents in previous playoff runs. The match window closes at 12:00 UTC on settlement day; any postponement beyond seven days without resolution triggers a 50-50 split.

Falcons have maintained consistency through Asia's competitive circuit, with their core lineup intact across the last two seasons. Legacy, conversely, underwent roster changes heading into playoffs and have relied on individual performances rather than established team synergy. Historical precedent from prior CS Asia Championships suggests teams with established five-man cohesion convert best-of-five advantages at roughly 70–75% rates when facing opponents mid-transition, aligning with current market pricing.

Traders should monitor official tournament communications from ESL or the Asia Championship organisers for any schedule adjustments—technical issues or venue constraints have delayed regional finals before. Roster confirmations and recent scrim results, typically posted 48 hours pre-match on team social channels, may shift perception of Legacy's preparation level. The early morning ET timing (2:00 AM) could affect viewership metrics but carries no direct bearing on match outcome. Any injury announcements or last-minute stand-in requirements would represent the primary catalyst for significant probability movement.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.