Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Falcons and Legacy are set for a Group A upper-bracket final at the CS Asia Championships, with the market now pricing Falcons at about 66% and Legacy at 34%. The overnight move matters because this is a best-of-three, so the favourite still needs two map wins rather than one fast start. Falcons came into the event with the stronger wider reputation and the exchange price reflects that, but the gap is not extreme for a knockout-stage CS2 series.

Comparable spots in recent top-tier CS2 events have tended to settle closer to map veto quality than headline name value: a stronger side can still be exposed if it is uncomfortable on the opponent’s best picks, while underdogs usually need at least one clean map to force pressure. That is why Falcons’ current price looks consistent with a solid favourite rather than a near-lock; in a BO3, one poor veto can quickly turn a 67% position into a much narrower live outlook. BO3.gg’s match listing and Polymarket’s series line both point the same way, with Falcons favoured but not dominant.

The main catalysts are scheduling and confirmation of the upper-bracket final timing, plus any late roster or technical updates from the event organiser. The match is listed for the group stage on 22 May, and the broader format means the result depends on whether this fixture is played on time and completed normally, rather than being disrupted by delays or admin decisions. If there is any change to the group schedule after the day’s earlier games finish, the probability should be read through that lens: a BO3 in a tight bracket is far more sensitive to veto order, map pool depth and any last-minute availability issue than a single-map opener.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.