Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-3.5) vs Walczaki (+3.5) | 100% ECHO | 0% Walczaki |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-3.5) vs ECHO (+3.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% ECHO |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ECHO (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | 0% ECHO | 100% Walczaki |
Market context
The Upper bracket final in Super DraculaN Group B is underway today, pitting ECHO against Walczaki in a BO3 match originally set for 11:00AM ET on 25 June. The market currently sits at 100% YES for ECHO, implying near-total certainty of their victory despite the competitive nature of the tournament. This event is taking place in Bucharest, Romania, with a $75,000 prize pool, and the live stream is already active on YouTube as of this evening[5][7].
Historically, 100% crowd-implied probabilities in esports prediction markets are rare and often signal either a massive skill gap or a lack of market liquidity. Comparable cases, such as ECHO’s 2026 CCT Europe Series 3 match against Phantom, saw ECHO ranked 58th globally facing a 102nd-ranked opponent, yet the result was not guaranteed until the final map[3]. In LAN playoff settings like the Tipsport Conquest of Prague, even top teams like Alliance have faced unexpected losses, making absolute certainty an outlier rather than a norm[2].
Traders should monitor the official match completion status and any forfeiture announcements, as the market resolves to 50-50 if the match is not completed or ends in a tie. The settlement window closes on 2026-06-25T21:00:00Z, so real-time updates from the live stream and tournament organisers are critical[1]. Recent coverage from Cybersport.ru confirms the match schedule and prize details, reinforcing the event’s legitimacy and timing[7]. Any delay beyond seven days without a winner would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, a dependency that remains the only plausible risk to the current pricing.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: ECHO vs Walczaki (BO3) - Super Dracu… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on Prediction Today →