Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Bounty Hunters have already beaten MIBR Academy 2-1 in this CCT South America Series 2 playoff match, so the market’s 100% YES price now reflects a completed result rather than live uncertainty. GosuGamers’ match page shows Bounty Hunters taking the best-of-three by that score, while Liquipedia lists Bounty Hunters advancing through the Series 2 bracket. For a market settled on the series result, that is the key change in the last 24 hours: the underlying event is no longer pending, and the only remaining issue is whether the result is recorded before the settlement window closes.
The current price is easy to read against recent form and head-to-head context. Dust2.us notes Bounty Hunters had won the only recent meeting with MIBR Academy and that they held the stronger recent form line, which fits a market that had already moved decisively towards Bounty Hunters before play. In comparable South American academy match-ups, the main source of upset risk is not ranking gap but bracket volatility and roster changes, yet none of that matters once a BO3 result is in the book. With the match page and bracket both aligned on a Bounty Hunters win, the historical frame now points firmly to confirmation rather than contest.
The only catalysts left to watch are administrative: whether the result is reflected cleanly across official tournament coverage, and whether any dispute or correction appears before the 22:30 UTC settlement cutoff. Liquipedia and GosuGamers both already show the completed series, which lowers the chance of a late mismatch, but prediction markets with short settlement windows can still be affected by delayed score reporting or bracket edits. If a source were to revise the result, that would matter more than any pre-match narrative at this stage.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Trade Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Acade… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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