Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
67% | 33% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
67% | 33% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 67% BetBoom Team | 34% M80 |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5) | 47% BetBoom Team | 54% M80 |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 45% Over | 55% Under |
Market context
BetBoom Team face M80 in a best-of-one Round 3 match at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 on 7 June, with the contest scheduled for 9:30AM ET. The 66% crowd probability favours the Russian-led roster, reflecting their recent form and seeding position within the tournament structure. This is a single-map elimination fixture where tactical preparation and map pool alignment carry outsized weight compared to longer series.
Historical precedent suggests best-of-one outcomes at major tournaments hinge heavily on pre-match conditions: map selection advantage, recent scrim results, and player availability status. BetBoom's positioning as the implied favourite aligns with their consistent top-16 finishes across 2024–2025 Valve-sponsored events, whilst M80 have shown volatility in high-pressure knockout stages. Single-map formats amplify variance—teams with narrow map pools or recent roster changes face steeper odds, whilst those with deep tactical flexibility and stable lineups typically outperform baseline seeding.
Traders should monitor official ESL announcements regarding any roster changes, player health disclosures, or schedule shifts in the 48 hours before match start. Map veto announcements, typically released 12–24 hours prior, will signal which side holds preparation advantage; if M80 secure a favourable map pool or BetBoom report last-minute absences, the probability could shift materially. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 7 June, allowing roughly ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Fixture delays beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth monitoring given tournament infrastructure dependencies.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Colo… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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