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Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: mellren (-1.5) vs banda chuya (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: mellren (-3.5) vs banda chuya (+3.5) 100% Volume: $83K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: banda chuya vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: mellren (-1.5) vs banda chuya (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: mellren (-3.5) vs banda chuya (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: mellren (-3.5) vs banda chuya (+3.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

banda chuya and mellren are due to meet in the CCT Europe Contenders #7 playoffs, but the price is sitting at 0% YES because the match has not been cleanly confirmed in the live feeds at the time of writing. Public match listings still show the fixture as upcoming or not started, while the bracket has several simultaneous playoff ties running across the same window, so the immediate issue is schedule execution rather than team-specific news.[1][2][4]

Recent comparable results give only a thin form guide, but they do show both sides advancing through this bracket rather than arriving cold. banda chuya beat COPH9K 2-0 in the playoffs, while mellren beat A Great Chaos 2-0 earlier in the same event and then appeared in the upper-bracket portion of the draw.[3][8][12] The teams have not met in the last six months, which limits any head-to-head read-through and leaves the market more dependent on bracket context than matchup history.[1]

The main catalysts to watch are simple: whether the series is officially scheduled, whether a live score page appears, and whether the lower-bracket quarter-final is moved because of the wider double-elimination bracket.[1][4][5] The tournament runs online from 25 July to 2 August, so any delay is likely to be organisational rather than logistical, but a last-minute reschedule or walkover would matter because a match not played at all resolves to 50-50 under the market rules.[4][6] If the game starts but does not finish, the market will still need the eventual match result to settle normally unless the contest remains incomplete within the defined window.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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