Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% Infinite |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% Infinite |
| Match Winner | 100% Acend | 0% Infinite |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Acend and Infinite at the Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1, scheduled to begin at 8:00 AM ET today in Bucharest. In the last 24 hours, Acend secured a decisive 2–1 victory over GamerLegion to advance to the Upper Bracket Semi-Finals, confirming their status as Bulgaria’s top team and shifting the tournament bracket significantly[1][5]. This recent momentum contrasts sharply with the 100% crowd-implied probability that Acend will win, a figure that ignores the inherent volatility of live esports where even ranked disparities rarely guarantee outcomes.
Historically, matches between teams ranked 59 and 61 globally, such as this one, have produced unpredictable results in LAN settings, with the lower-ranked side often capitalising on map-specific strengths or opponent fatigue[2]. Comparable cases from the Digital Crusade tournament show that initial bracket positions frequently flip after early matches, meaning a 100% probability is an outlier that disregards the precedent of close, competitive series in this tier of play. Traders should note that ties, cancellations, or delays beyond seven days would resolve the market to a 50–50 split, a contingency that remains plausible despite the current certainty.
Key catalysts include the official start time confirmation, potential roster announcements, and the map selection order for Mirage, Inferno, and Ancient, which could alter the competitive balance[2][4]. Traders must monitor Acend’s official communications for any last-minute roster changes or strategic shifts, as the team has highlighted this as a critical test for their roster[5]. The settlement window ends on 26 June 2026 at 18:10 UTC, so any delay in match completion or forfeiture before the final round will trigger the market’s tie resolution clause.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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