Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-3.5) vs 1WIN (+3.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% 1WIN |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Match Winner | 0% 1WIN | 100% Virtus.pro |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs 1WIN (+1.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% 1WIN |
Market context
The match between 1WIN and Virtus.pro is the immediate issue, and the price has already drifted to an extreme reading with the market at **0% YES** on 1WIN. That kind of quote usually reflects either a completed result being anticipated or heavy confidence that Virtus.pro are the clear side, rather than a balanced quarter-final awaiting a coin-flip outcome. Bovada’s live board listed Virtus.pro at **-310** versus **+225** for 1WIN, which is consistent with a strong pre-match lean towards Virtus.pro rather than a genuinely even matchup.[1]
Recent comparable signals also point the same way. Virtus.pro publicly posted that they were “continuing our run” at CCT Europe Series 4 and said, “See you tomorrow for the match against 1win”, which implies they had already advanced and were preparing for this tie.[4] Match listings on third-party esports calendars placed the fixture in the June 20 window, though with varying times, so the main practical risk for traders is not the bracket logic but whether the scheduled playoff game was actually started and completed as expected.[2][5]
For traders, the key catalysts are simple: an official result from the event operator, any schedule change, and whether the BO3 is completed rather than abandoned or pushed beyond the market’s seven-day settlement rule. If the match was played through, the settlement should follow the winner; if it was not played at all, or if there was no winner within the allowed delay window, the market can still resolve 50-50 under the stated rules. The live odds and the Virtus.pro team update are the clearest near-term indicators available from the current feed.[1][4]
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europ… on Prediction Today
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