Bitcoin price on June 13?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin's spot price has remained volatile across major exchanges over the past 48 hours, with BTC/USDT trading in a narrow band around the $60,000–$65,000 range on Binance. The market is pricing in uncertainty ahead of potential Federal Reserve communications and ongoing macroeconomic data releases. This particular market settles on the noon ET close on 13 June 2026, a date still eighteen months away, which explains the current 0% probability—traders have minimal conviction on price levels that far forward given Bitcoin's historical volatility and the extended timeframe.

Historical precedent suggests that Bitcoin price predictions beyond six months typically collapse towards extreme probabilities or flat distributions, as the number of intervening variables becomes unwieldy. Previous long-dated Bitcoin markets have shown that geopolitical events, regulatory announcements, and shifts in institutional adoption can dramatically reshape price expectations. The current zero probability indicates the market has not yet crystallised around any specific price bracket for that settlement date.

Traders monitoring this market should track scheduled Federal Reserve policy meetings, any major cryptocurrency regulation announcements from the SEC or international bodies, and Bitcoin's correlation with traditional risk assets. Recent institutional inflows and spot exchange-traded fund activity remain relevant catalysts. The 13 June 2026 settlement date falls outside the typical quarterly earnings and central bank decision cycles, meaning the resolution price will largely depend on structural market conditions established between now and that point rather than a specific near-term catalyst.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.