Bitcoin price on June 24?

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Bitcoin’s intraday volatility has tightened sharply over the last 48 hours, with the asset hovering just below $62,900 after a modest 0.38% dip on June 24. The crowd-implied 0% probability for a price rise on June 24 reflects a market that has absorbed recent selling pressure and is now waiting for a catalyst to reverse direction. This near-zero sentiment mirrors comparable daily outcomes in late May 2025, when Bitcoin traded near its all-time high of $111,970 and similarly showed minimal upward momentum despite strong fundamentals.

Traders should watch the US Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate announcement scheduled for June 25, as monetary policy shifts often trigger immediate crypto market reactions. Additionally, the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at noon ET on June 24 will be the definitive resolution source, meaning any pre-noon volatility could lock in the outcome. Recent data from Investing.com shows June 23’s close at $62,721.3, while June 24’s current close is $62,730.3, indicating a marginal but insufficient rise to overcome the 0% threshold. A break above $63,100 before noon ET would be the first sign of a potential reversal, though such a move remains unlikely without external stimulus.

The market’s resolution hinges entirely on whether the June 24 noon close exceeds June 23’s, with equal prices resolving 50-50. Given the current price trajectory and lack of immediate catalysts, the probability of a rise remains negligible. Investors should monitor real-time price shifts on Binance, as even small fluctuations before the settlement window could alter the outcome. No moralising on trading is necessary; the facts show a market in consolidation, awaiting a decisive trigger.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Bitcoin price on June 24? on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.